JL
JFrog Ltd (FROG)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2024 revenue was $100.3 million, up 26% year-over-year, with non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.16; management stated results “exceeded the high-end of our guidance measures,” driven by strong cloud usage and Enterprise+ adoption .
- Cloud revenue grew 47% YoY to $36.9 million (37% of total), while Enterprise+ subscriptions represented 49% of revenue ($49 million), reflecting consolidation of DevOps and security tooling and larger top-down enterprise deals .
- Gross margin expanded: GAAP 79.5% and non-GAAP 85.1%, aided by the elimination of an outsourced database and cost discipline; management reiterated annual GM expectation of 83–84% for 2024 .
- Guidance: Q2 revenue $103–$104 million; FY 2024 revenue raised to $425.5–$429.5 million; FY non-GAAP EPS raised to $0.59–$0.61; baseline cloud growth “mid-40s” reiterated; seasonality suggests stronger second half as projects ramp .
- Street estimates from S&P Global were unavailable; as a result, we cannot benchmark beats/misses versus Wall Street consensus for this quarter (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cloud momentum: Cloud revenue grew 47% YoY to $36.9 million (37% mix), supported by usage above commitments; management: “Cloud growth above our guidance range of mid-40s was supported by increases in customer consumption” .
- Platform consolidation: Enterprise+ subscriptions contributed 49% of revenue and grew 39% YoY; CEO emphasized “continued adoption of the JFrog platform… unified Software Supply Chain Platform” .
- Margin efficiency: Non-GAAP gross margin increased to 85.1% (vs. 82.9% prior year), with CFO citing removal of a third-party outsourced database and standardization on Vdoo’s database as drivers .
What Went Wrong
- Digestion after strong Q4: Management characterized Q1 as a “digestion” quarter following heavy Q4 consumption; cloud growth was strong YoY but sequential dynamics reflected cautious customer budgeting .
- Longer security sales cycles: While pipeline is building, customers are running comprehensive POCs to consolidate multiple security tools, which extends cycles; “pipeline building on the landscape of security is taking longer” .
- Large customers and KPIs: Net adds of customers >$100K ARR were slower versus recent pace due to seasonality and digestion; management expects normalization as the year progresses .
Financial Results
Consolidated Metrics Across Periods
Notes:
- YoY Q1 revenue +26%; non-GAAP operating margin +10.6 pts YoY; non-GAAP EPS $0.16 vs $0.06 prior year .
- CFO reaffirmed annual GM trend 83–84% in 2024, moving toward low-80s over time with cloud mix shift .
Segment and Mix
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Management context: Q2 seasonality expected; stronger second half as budgets free up; expansions and migrations weighted later in the year .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Q1 was another quarter of strong execution as we exceeded the high-end of our guidance measures… Growth in adoption of JFrog Platform subscriptions… highlights the need… for a unified Software Supply Chain Platform” .
- CFO: “Cloud revenues… up 47% YoY… driven by customer usage levels above commitments… we reiterate fiscal 2024 baseline cloud growth around the mid-40s” .
- On margins: “We removed [a] third-party outsourced database… standardized on the Vdoo database… [driving] efficiency… we guide between 83% to 84% gross margins during 2024” .
- On enterprise consolidation: “Customers… standardize on holistic solutions… tool consolidation… embracing cloud hybrid and multi-cloud environments” .
- On MLOps: “We recently introduced the industry’s first DevOps platform to seamlessly integrate with MLflow and Qwak… users can utilize Artifactory as a model registry with Xray to secure ML artifacts” .
Q&A Highlights
- Seasonality and digestion: Q1 seen as digestion after a strong Q4; projects and spend weighted to 2H; cloud commitments underpin mid-40s baseline growth .
- Visibility on cloud: Guidance based on commitments; upside from usage; migrations unlikely to pick up materially vs. 2023 levels in near term .
- Security pipeline and cycles: Enterprise POCs aim to consolidate 5+ tools; cycles longer than DevOps; still expected to be “material” to revenue in 2024 .
- Margin drivers: Strong GM aided by database standardization; 2024 GM expected 83–84% .
- Mix and enterprise focus: Higher ASP lands via top-down motion; better durability and faster expansion from enterprise cohort .
Estimates Context
- Street consensus from S&P Global for Q1 2024 revenue and EPS was unavailable due to data access limits; we cannot quantify beats/misses vs Wall Street expectations this quarter (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
- Management highlighted performance exceeding company guidance and raised FY revenue/EPS ranges, which should prompt upward bias to sell-side models focused on cloud usage and Enterprise+ mix .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Cloud usage remains the core growth lever; commitments support mid-40s baseline growth, with potential upside from consumption in stronger quarters .
- Enterprise consolidation of DevOps and security tooling is accelerating; Enterprise+ mix at 49% underpins pricing power and margin durability .
- Margins are resilient (non-GAAP GM 85.1%); structural efficiencies (Vdoo database) and cost discipline offset cloud mix headwinds in 2024 .
- Security suite is gaining traction but entails longer sales cycles; expect sequential build as POCs convert; pipeline strength across regulated sectors (Carahsoft) adds channel breadth .
- Seasonality implies stronger 2H execution; Q2 guide is prudent; investors should watch usage trends and migrations, enterprise and public sector wins, and sustained Enterprise+ mix .
- AI/MLOps positioning is strategic; integrations (MLflow, Qwak) and subsequent Qwak acquisition strengthen “model-as-package” narrative that could become a medium-term tailwind .